Trusting-Airship
0xc0fba4f5558950d4998ec100b8c6788fac6cec4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.0K
Realised
$-29.51
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Norway?
1043 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?
684 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-134.67
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?
541 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-219.00
- SPURS
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)
509 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-220.64
- OVER
Timberwolves vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5
504 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-212.62
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Norway?
500 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- RAPTORS
Raptors vs. Pistons
407 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-166.99
- YES
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?
385 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
362 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-75.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$10.41Jul 19, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?$8.38Jul 19, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$16.60Jul 18, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLKylian Mbappé: 2+ goals$16.49Jul 18, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 2+ goals$4.15Jul 18, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 1 England?$10.45Jul 18, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?$10.45Jul 15, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?$11.49Jul 14, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$20.63Jul 14, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?$4.19Jul 11, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$10.45Jul 11, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?$6.13Jul 11, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?$7.85Jul 11, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?$4.92Jul 11, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?$11.51Jul 10, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?$6.13Jul 10, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?$5.72Jul 10, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?$7.31Jul 10, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?$7.33Jul 10, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic$2.09Jul 10, 16:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $16.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 20:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.