Sweet-Convection
0xc0ffa24eb2bfaeaafe11b5c1143281f7c590136b
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$130.34
Total PnL
$-58.2K
Realised
$-129.09
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
25962 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$64.91
$-137.91
- YES
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
25126 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$37.69
$-158.60
- YES
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
7269 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.90
$-45.88
- YES
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1531 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.36
$-6.12
- YES
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1531 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.30
$-9.18
- YES
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1531 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.30
$-9.18
- YES
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1531 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.30
$-9.18
- YES
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1531 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.30
$-9.18
- YES
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1531 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.30
$-9.18
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 15, 5AM ET
2580 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$15.84Jul 28, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$14.02Jul 28, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$77.60Jul 28, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$27.20Jul 28, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$9.40Jul 28, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$13.50Jul 28, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$13.50Jul 28, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$8.31Jul 28, 15:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$91.28Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$80.30Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$46.95Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$45.92Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$3.74Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$0.97Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$4.87Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$6.88Jul 28, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$2.34Jul 28, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$9.20Jul 28, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$9.20Jul 28, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$4.30Jul 28, 15:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $7.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 15:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.