Medium-Curtain
0xc10d96d0b380c3a6e4fa23d22a1edebae20b7d8d
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
52
Open notional
$21.06
Total PnL
$-115.73
Realised
$-2.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?
10 shares @ 53.4¢·now 64.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$6.42
$1.08
- UP
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.70
$-1.10
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.40
$-0.60
- NO
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 8.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.59
$0.59
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
11 shares @ 9.3¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
1002 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- AURORA
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?$5.8020m ago
- TRADEBUYNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?$5.103h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 6?$9.996h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.056h ago
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.107h ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$5.3413h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?$0.3013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?$0.0113h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?$0.0713h ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.4013h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.0314h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?$0.1014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?$0.0214h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.0614h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 6?$9.7014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 6?$2.5014h ago
- TRADEBUYKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$1.0414h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?$1.0514h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.0015h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.0715h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 17h ago
- Last active
- 20m ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
