Plastic-Torso
0xc118d991a0d0e511dbe6a88c9a59d2cab99a18e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$100.00
Total PnL
$-166.54
Realised
$-37.63
Win rate
13%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$98.55
$48.54
- YES
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.45
$-48.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 10?
300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 30?
300 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 13?
200 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 13?
196 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.52
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 11?
176 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 10?
100 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 2?
100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 15?
88 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-34.84
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Aug 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 5, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $0.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 13:27 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.