Weak-Bibliography
0xc11b6e188ebce61c4bc5372ab67f7427fc89a213
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
66
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$105.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Scotland vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1786 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
1144 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Scotland to score first vs. Morocco?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- B8
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
1000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
823 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- PARIVISION
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner
680 shares @ 55.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-380.00
- MOUZ
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
598 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-170.00
- YES
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals
484 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$10.69Jul 20, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$51.69Jul 19, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$102.85Jul 19, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$182.10Jul 19, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$63.67Jul 19, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$102.26Jul 19, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?$51.80Jul 19, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$11.25Jul 19, 20:51 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$2.28Jul 19, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMikel Merino: 1+ goals$10.42Jul 19, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ goals$20.61Jul 19, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$50.54Jul 19, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain to score first vs. Argentina?$51.10Jul 19, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$203.02Jul 19, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$10.45Jul 19, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.2KJul 19, 18:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: O/U 7.5$23.92Jul 18, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5$15.87Jul 18, 23:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $85.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 22:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.