Handsome-Recovery
0xc12a9983721b113e545a6a0edfb4ad5096bbdc73
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$37.50
Total PnL
$-72.7K
Realised
$-19.5K
Win rate
6%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
46 shares @ 62.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$27.89
$-0.69
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.62
$-0.38
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026?
16749 shares @ 60.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.2K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?
8720 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 November 17-23?
5688 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.8K
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 19?
4728 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.5K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?
4238 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
3305 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 16-22?
2914 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?
2889 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?$29.34Aug 5, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$28.85Aug 2, 03:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 20, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 19, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
6% win rate over 47 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
47 closed markets, 6% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $98.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 07:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 16:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.