Alert-Draft
0xc12b709d8aac68ad9b28f55f4711e9aa1f778f76
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-631.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 13?
36178 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
739 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?
376 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
321 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- INTER
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milan
279 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-107.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
237 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will AC Milan win on 2025-08-23?
205 shares @ 48.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-11-07?
180 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Manchester City vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US Cremonese win on 2025-11-07?$50.00Nov 7, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AC Milan win on 2025-11-02?$104.16Nov 2, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2025-11-02?$50.00Nov 2, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$100.00Oct 20, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill AC Milan win on 2025-10-19?$178.57Oct 20, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2025-10-19?$100.00Oct 19, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$35.00Oct 9, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City vs. Manchester United end in a draw?$20.00Sep 14, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United win on 2025-09-14?$15.91Sep 14, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-09-14?$50.00Sep 14, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AS Roma vs. Torino end in a draw?$16.77Sep 14, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma vs. Torino end in a draw?$40.00Sep 14, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 13?$100.00Sep 13, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juventus win on 2025-09-13?$140.00Sep 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win on 2025-09-13?$20.00Sep 13, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Inter win on 2025-09-13?$112.85Sep 13, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter win on 2025-09-13?$20.00Sep 13, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juventus win on 2025-09-13?$40.71Sep 13, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win on 2025-09-13?$20.00Sep 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Sep 11, 12:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $68.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 19:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".