Defiant-Sleuth
0xc1335fdf30933c678f85be41e007a75aadeb198c
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$90.41
Total PnL
$-49.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
90 shares @ 77.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$90.41
$20.41
- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
125 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 4?$30.00Mar 4, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 4?$40.00Mar 4, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$20.00Jun 30, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$20.00Jun 30, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$20.00Jun 30, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$10.00Jun 30, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before July?$81.00Jun 22, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$19.79Jun 19, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$29.99Jun 18, 17:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $23.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 12:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.