Wallet profile

Short-Rise

0xc13cbd011bc02c0c9fd9a5d4dbd236ecc0e8a202

activity 90/100

Wallet digest

whaleinsufficient history

Activity score

90/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

10

Open notional

$69.8K

Total PnL

$-153.79

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$48.2K

Trades

3

Buy share

15%

Window

May 29, 07:30 UTC → Jun 15, 21:33 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $28.1K

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

0/100
read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

No resolved edge sample

Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.

High mirror risk

Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

0/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal
block

Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.

Resolved-only track record
block

Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$41.0K

2 trades

Buy share

15%

Sample

limited

3 ledger trades

Top market concentration

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

$28.1K · 58% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?58% of recorded volume$28.1KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?27% of recorded volume$12.9KUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?15% of recorded volume$7.2K

Profile dimensions

Activity70 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry10 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk79 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
40
Avg trade size
$3.0K
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jun 15, 21:39 UTC
Last active
Jul 1, 21:10 UTC
Win rate sample
0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 21:14:26 UTC·src:Polymarket Data