Afraid-Skate
0xc1428a8761c4635e3b496998c88361e7012ace2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$93.09
Total PnL
$-218.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 Week of July 6 2026?
93 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$93.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?
1533 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 11?
813 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
760 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 17?
740 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 15?
733 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 20?
715 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 4?
715 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 27?
690 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 Week of July 6 2026?$93.00Jul 10, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close at >$620 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$89.18Jul 10, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close at >$620 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?$89.00Jun 26, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$11.56Jun 26, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$81.94Jun 26, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$81.87Jun 1, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$8.30Jun 1, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.23Jun 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$75.94Jun 1, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$75.86May 31, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic$4.16May 31, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$80.02May 31, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$79.87May 30, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$78.91May 30, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$79.01May 30, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs$8.50May 30, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$11.50May 30, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C or higher on May 28?$14.71May 29, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $570 Week of May 25 2026?$28.54May 29, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $570 Week of May 25 2026?$82.56May 29, 04:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $93.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 08:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.