Sentimental-Refectory
0xc1438dacc01c897579a0badc83824ccf61cc04f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ballad of a Small Player win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 25)
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Nouvelle Vague win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
160 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 25)
105 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Insane Asylum" this week? (January 25)
62 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Capital of the World" in March?$0.00Mar 31, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Truth Social" in March?$0.02Mar 31, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Coward" in March?$0.04Mar 31, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Mar 22, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Mar 22, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 22, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 22, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 22, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Truth Social" in March?$1.00Mar 22, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Coward" in March?$1.00Mar 22, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Capital of the World" in March?$1.00Mar 22, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bugonia win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Jan 30, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?$0.00Jan 30, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Insane Asylum" this week? (January 25)$1.00Jan 20, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (January 25)$1.00Jan 20, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 25)$1.00Jan 20, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026?$0.42Jan 20, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?$2.00Jan 18, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?$2.00Jan 18, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$2.78Jan 18, 19:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 13:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 21:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".