Luminous-Situation
0xc14cf0182cfb162a0c9a7ba8b1baadfdbf77ec48
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-77.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
703 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
306 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
175 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
139 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Next French confidence vote passes?
138 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?
134 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
112 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
81 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$7.46Apr 20, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$5.00Nov 23, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1.00Nov 23, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$2.00Nov 11, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$3.00Nov 11, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$5.00Nov 4, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$5.00Nov 4, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$5.00Nov 4, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$10.00Nov 4, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$20.00Nov 3, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?$20.83Nov 2, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?$10.00Oct 23, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.00Oct 23, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 24?$1.00Oct 23, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Oct 23, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext French confidence vote passes?$1.00Oct 23, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$2.00Oct 23, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria win Eurovision 2025?$11.49Oct 16, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95k in April?$0.00May 17, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Pope be gay?$0.00May 17, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 07:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".