Piercing-Residence
0xc14efb997d04a2148d452be92fbcf5636cb47f73
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
71
Open notional
$16.55
Total PnL
$-799.71
Realised
$29.26
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
72 shares @ 20.8¢·now 23.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$16.55
$1.55
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
1392 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
1054 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by September 15?
1012 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
617 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-134.52
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
498 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
285 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-138.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5AM ET
212 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-10.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$12.01Feb 28, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$12.01Feb 28, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$4.38Feb 28, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$10.00Feb 28, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$15.39Feb 28, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$140.69Feb 26, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$2.00Feb 26, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$20.00Feb 26, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$5.00Feb 26, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Woody Allen be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$1.00Feb 26, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$3.00Feb 26, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$15.00Feb 26, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$5.00Feb 26, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$15.00Feb 26, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$117.69Feb 26, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$89.86Feb 26, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$114.81Feb 26, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$15.00Feb 26, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.00Feb 26, 16:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $24.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 14:30 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 17:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".