Great-Shower
0xc15128cc737b57d30f47e8c6f080a0ae3e0b9e94
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$31.03
Total PnL
$-497.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
23 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$23.44
$18.05
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.56
$-1.44
- YES
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
1221 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-145.00
- NO
Will the Seattle Seahawks make the playoffs?
842 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
465 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
185 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- CANELO
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford
161 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
156 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
121 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 15, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 15, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 15, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 15, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Mar 15, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 15, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?$17.86Feb 26, 23:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$299.56Feb 26, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dana White attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$3.00Feb 25, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU?$1.00Feb 25, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be kicked out of Trump's State of the Union address?$5.00Feb 25, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$100.00Feb 25, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$50.00Feb 25, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$20.00Feb 25, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$30.00Feb 25, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$100.00Feb 25, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$25.00Feb 25, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$7.31Feb 25, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?$32.00Feb 25, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Seahawks (-4.5)$840.00Feb 25, 01:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $49.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 00:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 23:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.