Gorgeous-Bankruptcy
0xc1566f6c6354063aa4e47be15e72b438a76f1bdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$39.83
Total PnL
$-12.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$20.14
$10.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$19.69
$9.65
- YES
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
13910 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-13.91
- YES
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?
21 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.37
- YES
Will Trump drink water during the State of the Union?
20 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$10.42Jul 21, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$10.38Jun 4, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?$3.05Apr 27, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $500M one day after launch?$3.60Apr 27, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMParadex FDV above $300M one day after launch?$5.00Apr 27, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?$4.20Apr 19, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $500M one day after launch?$2.60Mar 22, 13:13 UTC
- REWARD$0.20Mar 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYParadex FDV above $300M one day after launch?$3.85Feb 28, 03:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.36Feb 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gianni Infantino attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.54Feb 24, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$3.14Feb 24, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gianni Infantino attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.57Feb 24, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump drink water during the State of the Union?$7.40Feb 24, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?$11.37Feb 6, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin O'Leary be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Feb 6, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill "UFO" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)$10.36Feb 6, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "UFO" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 25)$6.01Jan 20, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?$1.01Jan 20, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$3.22Dec 10, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $35.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 08:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.