Delectable-Trance
0xc169a11ee2118c8ca8c6472126da8b8e8067b468
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.6K
Realised
$-20.29
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $140-$150 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 1 – Dec 5?
1230 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $130-$140 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 1 – Dec 5?
1219 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1200 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Jorge Nelson Ávila Gutiérrez win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
1020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mario Rivera Callejas win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
747 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-7.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
746 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-7.46
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$38.99Jan 26, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$22.00Jan 26, 21:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.02Jan 26, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$44.35Jan 25, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$1.65Jan 25, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$23.20Jan 25, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$3.87Jan 25, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$4.12Jan 25, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$16.80Jan 25, 15:57 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.07Jan 24, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$49.34Jan 23, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$9.67Jan 23, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$12.73Jan 23, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$5.40Jan 23, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.24Jan 23, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.60Jan 23, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$2.63Jan 23, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$2.88Jan 23, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$20.00Jan 23, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?$20.50Jan 23, 19:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $20.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 22:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 21:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.