Graceful-Millet
0xc16dc3403936e15afccde5fa5f2dce465328218b
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$999.99
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$999.99
$409.99
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
5218 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
3464 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
3048 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-900.00
- NO
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
2222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
1429 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-490.00
- NO
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
76 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$900.00Feb 16, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$157.29Jan 11, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$144.72Jan 11, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$241.89Jan 11, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$53.75Jan 11, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$2.95Jan 11, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$9.80Jan 11, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$3.92Jan 11, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$392.00Jan 11, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$35.94Jan 11, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$7.20Jan 11, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$19.22Jan 11, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$11.31Jan 11, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?$26.00Jan 7, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?$300.00Jan 7, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?$200.00Jan 7, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$500.00Jan 4, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$250.00Jan 4, 03:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $180.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 03:51 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.