Necessary-Kendo
0xc170d9f907a9ba9d8116125e9b401dddd0496e31
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$170.12
Total PnL
$-16.38
Realised
$-0.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of March?
170 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$170.12
$0.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
295 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.32
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3100 on July 23?
207 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4200 July 28–August 3?
182 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on August 28 at 4PM ET?
140 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.26
- YES
Will Ivan Saric win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in August?
85 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
60 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the UK state banquet on September 17?
60 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
11 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$109.01Apr 25, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$109.12Apr 25, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$1.08Apr 15, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$99.60Apr 11, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$99.80Apr 11, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$94.38Apr 3, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$95.48Apr 1, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?$0.75Mar 26, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of March?$169.32Mar 25, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?$2.25Mar 24, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close above $206 end of November?$180.00Dec 16, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$5.32Dec 5, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) close above $206 end of November?$179.28Nov 25, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUCLA vs. Ohio State$136.50Nov 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUCLA vs. Ohio State$137.20Nov 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$158.56Nov 15, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$159.04Nov 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1.50Nov 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$2.25Nov 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?$109.56Nov 5, 14:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $73.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 09:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 19:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".