Worldly-Childbirth
0xc172b4511b29dcabe7d904000ff5c70f2b9ea1ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$236.52
Total PnL
$-197.04
Realised
$1.03
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Trump say "Gold Card" or "Trump card" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
58 shares @ 45.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$57.75
$31.43
- NO
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?
51 shares @ 78.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$50.60
$10.83
- NO
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
50 shares @ 87.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$50.00
$6.34
- NO
Will Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
50 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$50.00
$19.50
- NO
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
28 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$28.17
$10.14
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
930 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-130.20
- NO
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?
585 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2025$0.00
$-47.01
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?
337 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2025$0.00
$-26.57
- YES
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
208 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-22.88
- NO
Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
122 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?$23.70Mar 3, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more?$16.07Mar 3, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$100.00Feb 25, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$12.00Feb 25, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$9.00Feb 25, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$14.65Feb 25, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$12.24Feb 25, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gold Card" or "Trump card" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.95Feb 25, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Gold Card" or "Trump card" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$8.25Feb 25, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gold Card" or "Trump card" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$4.29Feb 25, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$3.60Feb 25, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$18.03Feb 25, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hockey" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$4.00Feb 25, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$3.50Feb 25, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$43.66Feb 25, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gold Card" or "Trump card" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$27.50Feb 25, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$8.00Feb 25, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.95Feb 25, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$14.53Feb 25, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$3.18Feb 25, 01:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $15.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 23:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 23:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".