Bad-Writer
0xc176c8e3f2b3c35a12465016e46933eb14a6dc44
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-72.83
Realised
$2.68
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
57 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?
26 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
26 shares @ 37.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of March?
20 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10PM ET
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
19 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.01Mar 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?$2.31Mar 15, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?$3.00Mar 15, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.11Mar 15, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$2.00Mar 14, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?$1.00Mar 13, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.33Mar 12, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$2.25Mar 12, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 12, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of March?$1.00Mar 12, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$5.00Mar 12, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$10.28Mar 8, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$10.00Mar 5, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.00Mar 5, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$1.86Mar 5, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.97Mar 5, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.76Mar 5, 15:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 21:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.