Massive-Tinderbox
0xc17b55977072006e7979356a1eabf7733c7974cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$35.45
Total PnL
$-34.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
767 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.65
$-10.35
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.35
$2.35
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
37 shares @ 17.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.94
$-1.46
- NO
Will Trump say "Mount McKinley" during the State of the Union address?
4 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$4.35
$1.35
- NO
Will Trump say "Nigeria" during the State of the Union address?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$3.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
44 shares @ 15.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.73
$-3.87
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?
1333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
1002 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
47 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".