Complicated-Merchant
0xc182180658028e152385635076acd6ded4e0520b
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$7.08
Total PnL
$-15.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $200 end of February?
7 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$7.08
$0.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2739 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2736 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2734 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2733 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2732 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2730 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
2727 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2725 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
2723 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $200 end of February?$7.01Feb 7, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?$1.02Feb 7, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$2.7KJan 5, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$2.7KJan 5, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.4KJan 5, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.4KJan 5, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Jan 5, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.7KJan 5, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$35.98Jan 5, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$3.56Jan 5, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.3KJan 5, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.4KJan 5, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$20.00Jan 5, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.4KJan 5, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.3KJan 5, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$2.7KJan 5, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$2.7KJan 5, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$2.15Jan 5, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$3.87Jan 5, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$1.4KJan 5, 04:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $847.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 02:53 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 03:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".