Offensive-Complication
0xc1880859a0f0db76aa3467bafca1ff26947a2e16
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.36
Realised
$-0.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 9°C on March 16?
82 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
55 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on March 16?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 16?
16 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 16?$3.92Mar 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 16?$3.92Mar 15, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 16?$3.92Mar 15, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on March 16?$1.00Mar 15, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 9°C on March 16?$1.00Mar 15, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 16?$5.92Mar 15, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 16?$6.16Mar 15, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on March 16?$1.63Mar 15, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 16?$3.92Mar 15, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 16?$4.00Mar 15, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on March 16?$2.00Mar 15, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 15?$1.00Mar 15, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 15?$7.25Mar 15, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 15?$2.00Mar 14, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 14?$1.67Mar 14, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 14?$0.00Mar 14, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 14?$0.00Mar 14, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.00Mar 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 14?$3.00Mar 13, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 14?$1.00Mar 13, 15:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 10:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 09:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".