Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-5.8K

Realised

$80.81

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 45

NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
98000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026
$0.00
$-98.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
2480 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$0.00
$-189.52
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
2272 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$0.00
$-774.56
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
1900 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$0.00
$-347.79
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
1691 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$0.00
$-311.79
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
1422 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$0.00
$-297.94
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
1410 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$0.00
$-193.64
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
1352 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$0.00
$-128.36
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
1324 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$0.00
$-500.39
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
1006 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026
$0.00
$-154.24

Recent activity

TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$98.00May 9, 17:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$349.75Feb 22, 16:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$150.00Feb 22, 16:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$163.49Feb 22, 16:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$186.66Feb 22, 16:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$100.00Feb 22, 16:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$6.00Feb 22, 15:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$100.00Feb 22, 15:57 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$294.98Feb 22, 15:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$25.00Feb 22, 15:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$100.00Feb 22, 15:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$10.00Feb 22, 15:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$110.00Feb 22, 15:36 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$89.50Feb 22, 15:36 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$536.83Feb 22, 15:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$49.98Feb 22, 15:33 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$110.40Feb 22, 15:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$199.75Feb 22, 15:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$100.00Feb 22, 15:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$100.00Feb 22, 15:21 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry20 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk57 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $150.44
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 22, 03:44 UTC
Last active: May 9, 17:41 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 13:29:35 UTC·src:Polymarket Data