Concrete-Yacht
0xc192e86c9776d8806fa6d26b68fd0b404143c8d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$36.08
Total PnL
$-303.18
Realised
$174.78
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
1176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$25.18
$5.18
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
661 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$10.90
$-9.10
- YES
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
672 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.17
- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026
523 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-33.98
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
360 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
296 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-12.49
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
179 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026
177 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
171 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-44.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026$0.45Mar 31, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026$3.65Mar 31, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026$6.89Mar 31, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026$0.45Mar 31, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026$0.47Mar 31, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026$2.08Mar 30, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026$10.00Mar 30, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026$10.00Mar 30, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$20.00Mar 23, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$1.00Mar 23, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$1.00Mar 23, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?$20.00Mar 22, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$22.27Mar 22, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$10.38Mar 22, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$35.97Mar 22, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$35.21Mar 22, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$40.00Mar 22, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 23:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $10.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 01:03 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.