Disguised-Jet
0xc193d19f9dcdb4f1b02d43b74d41030bd846872d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- 107K
Will Bitcoin hit $107k or $109k first?
4500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?
3000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-389.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11AM ET
606 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2025$0.00
$-43.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump praise Vladimir Putin on Friday?
583 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 400–424 times August 15–August 22?
550 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-49.50
- YES
Will Leeds United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?
500 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 375–399 times August 15–August 22?
500 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 350–374 times August 15–August 22?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-11-24?
405 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-24?
405 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.02
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.29Dec 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?$117.76Dec 9, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?$1.39Dec 9, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?$0.85Dec 9, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?$129.35Dec 9, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?$123.33Dec 9, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?$1.43Dec 9, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?$7.00Dec 9, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?$6.51Dec 9, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?$1.73Dec 9, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 13?$0.65Dec 9, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham win on 2025-12-07?$5.16Dec 7, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham win on 2025-12-07?$4.80Dec 7, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?$24.75Dec 3, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?$0.25Dec 3, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United vs. Chelsea end in a draw?$100.00Dec 3, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?$899.10Dec 3, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?$756.00Dec 3, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?$0.00Nov 28, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?$108.79Nov 28, 19:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $108.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 20:50 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.