Sorrowful-Parsley
0xc194ebb92741160ae65d973bfde3f569d8dbc49c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-168.07
Realised
$-78.73
Win rate
48%
90 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
85 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
85 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
85 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
83 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
80 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
80 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
80 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
80 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
80 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?$0.06May 30, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$0.06May 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?$0.03May 30, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?$6.76May 30, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?$0.06May 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?$0.27May 30, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?$0.03May 29, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?$0.06May 29, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?$0.06May 29, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?$4.47May 29, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?$0.09May 29, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?$0.06May 29, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?$0.06May 29, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?$0.39May 29, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $148 in May?$0.06May 29, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?$0.15May 29, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?$0.03May 29, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?$0.06May 29, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?$0.51May 29, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $128 in May?$0.06May 29, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
48% win rate over 90 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 21/100.
90 closed markets, 48% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 03:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 90 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.