Chubby-Ingredient
0xc1a5eec2fd8b17c7154d28e8e2160a08b9bec08a
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$38.87
Total PnL
$8.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$10.00
$1.80
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$10.00
$2.90
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.94
$2.94
- NO
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.38
$0.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$7.10Nov 10, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$8.20Nov 10, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$5.00Oct 22, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?$5.00Oct 22, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Oct 22, 04:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $6.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 04:12 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 10, 15:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.