Parched-Justice
0xc1af4b8fd68aae0ae91c958ae72d6ed7d5e58dc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-122.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 11?
193 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 20?
119 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 3?
105 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 24?
89 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 26?
85 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.58
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 20?
80 shares @ 95.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-76.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 27?
78 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- UP
Solana Up or Down on April 19?
77 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,800 on January 26?
73 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 2PM ET
70 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 14-20?$98.18Jul 21, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 14-20?$96.02Jul 20, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 3?$1.91Jul 2, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 28?$108.75Jun 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 28?$106.14Jun 27, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on May 28?$108.71May 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 28?$0.60May 28, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 28?$105.83May 28, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 19?$92.74May 19, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 19?$90.79May 18, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 18?$1.67May 18, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 11?$1.44May 11, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 25?$96.43May 11, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?$0.00May 2, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on April 25?$95.08Apr 26, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 21?$0.00Apr 26, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on April 19?$2.06Apr 19, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 13?$111.43Apr 19, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 15?$2.86Apr 14, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 13?$109.87Apr 13, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $35.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 17:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 09:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.