Familiar-Tulip
0xc1b918a8a145b990a87a99e7d8753900f5e563b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-41.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Labour win less than 325 seats in the next UK Election?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will June 2024 have a temperature increase of less than 1.09°C?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Turkey win the 2024 Euros?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Netherlands win the 2024 Euros?
25 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Roaring Kitty charged in 2024?
18 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Liberal Democrats win less than 30 seats in the next UK Election?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
16 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Keir Starmer be next UK prime minister?$0.00Feb 7, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMLabour wins the most seats in next UK election? $0.00Feb 7, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Labour win 350-374 seats in the next UK Election?$0.00Feb 7, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMLabour wins >50% of votes?$0.00Feb 7, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMReform wins <7% of votes?$0.00Feb 7, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill National Rally win the most seats in the National Assembly?$0.00Feb 7, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMStranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 4?$0.00Feb 7, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMLabour wins <30% of votes?$0.00Feb 7, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEM2024 June hottest on record?$0.00Feb 7, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMReform wins the second most seats in next UK election? $0.00Feb 7, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in 2024?$10.00Dec 5, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Labour win 325-349 seats in the next UK Election?$0.00Dec 5, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYReform wins the second most seats in next UK election? $30.00Jul 4, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoaring Kitty charged in 2024?$3.00Jul 3, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill June 2024 have a temperature increase of less than 1.09°C?$2.00Jul 3, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$3.00Jul 3, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democrats win less than 30 seats in the next UK Election?$1.00Jul 3, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYReform wins >23% of votes?$1.00Jul 3, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLabour wins >50% of votes?$2.00Jul 3, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLabour wins <30% of votes?$1.00Jul 3, 14:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 17:41 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 21:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".