Treasured-Zootsuit
0xc1b9a05bc7f493956e43db189460a4f5d2808cca
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-117.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Rosamund Li get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?
1021 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the March Meeting?
1003 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will John Stirling die in Bridgerton: Season 4?
550 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?
543 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?
164 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?
148 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
111 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Hillary say "Plane" during her Epstein testimony?
89 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$8.00Feb 28, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$15.00Feb 28, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$15.00Feb 28, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$5.00Feb 28, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?$5.00Feb 28, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.00Feb 28, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 28, 2026?$3.00Feb 27, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the March Meeting?$5.00Feb 27, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Addams Family" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$3.00Feb 26, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton say "Plane" during his Epstein testimony?$3.00Feb 26, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony?$2.00Feb 26, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton say "President" or "Trump" 3+ times during his Epstein testimony?$2.00Feb 26, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 27, 2026?$3.00Feb 26, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?$2.00Feb 26, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?$1.00Feb 26, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?$3.00Feb 26, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?$1.00Feb 26, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary say "Bill" or "Clinton" during her Epstein testimony?$3.00Feb 26, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary say "Plane" during her Epstein testimony?$3.00Feb 26, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?$5.00Feb 26, 21:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $5.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 20:57 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 19:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.