Well-Off-Balcony
0xc1bb1332380958f0a33d998c58d034943743a95d
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$6.2K
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
11248 shares @ 41.1¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.3K
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
16120 shares @ 15.7¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.9K
$373.11
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?
27333 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on August 8?
1265 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?
714 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-32.40
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on August 8?
495 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-63.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?
272 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-47.38
- YES
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
186 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?
120 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.98
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.52Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.44Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.42Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.44Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.44Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$588.94Jul 19, 11:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$985.55Jul 16, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$17.56Jul 16, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.1KJul 16, 12:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $425.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.