False-Dearest
0xc1ce3a485c74403b6945aa66a0fe2f8482b74943
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$44.44
Total PnL
$-312.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
44 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.44
$24.44
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
12244 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-159.99
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
2431 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-67.77
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
636 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
101 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?
61 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out in 2025?
51 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$45.00Feb 7, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?$5.00Jan 23, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$180.00Jan 23, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?$7.00Jan 23, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?$3.00Jan 23, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$20.00Jan 10, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$30.00Jan 10, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$2.00Nov 10, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$3.00Nov 8, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$35.00Nov 4, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$40.34Nov 4, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$0.07Oct 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$0.05Oct 28, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$0.25Oct 28, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$0.04Oct 28, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$0.05Oct 28, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$20.31Oct 28, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$7.00Oct 26, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out in 2025?$2.00Oct 26, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out in 2025?$10.00Oct 26, 18:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $24.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 15:57 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 15:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.