Defenseless-Alligator
0xc1cee4a89fa9ab5c5d63d9998301d016df2890e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$42.87
Total PnL
$11.45
Realised
$1.74
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
10 shares @ 37.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.40
$6.51
- NO
Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.50
$0.50
- NO
Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.41
$0.41
- NO
Will FDP be part of the next German government?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$2.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$2.41
$0.41
- NO
X and Truth Social merger announced before August?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$2.35
$0.35
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$2.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$2.22
$0.22
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.22
$0.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?$2.08Apr 15, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?$2.15Apr 15, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$2.25Apr 15, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election?$2.27Apr 15, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before April?$2.47Apr 15, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMYoon out as president of South Korea before April?$5.71Apr 15, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting?$2.00Mar 11, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea before April?$2.00Mar 11, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $140 by February 28 2025?$0.00Mar 11, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before March?$2.06Mar 11, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill SPD win the second most seats in the next German election?$2.06Mar 11, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025?$2.07Mar 11, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana hit $350 by February 28 2025?$2.07Mar 11, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025?$2.10Mar 11, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$2.20Mar 11, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?$2.60Mar 11, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMLily Phillips breaks record for sex in one day?$3.13Mar 11, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$3.22Mar 11, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,700 on February 14?$0.00Feb 19, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?$0.00Feb 19, 07:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $2.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 20:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 11:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".