Naive-Felony
0xc1de4bd6404b14e42ea81c4667ef68d4f8fcaaf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$27.30
Total PnL
$6.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$6.55
$4.65
- NO
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
6 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.74
$2.41
- PSG
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$5.61
$2.58
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
4 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$4.17
$2.92
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
4 shares @ 72.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$3.59
$1.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
2 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.63
$0.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18?
6 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.66
- YES
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
4 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.37
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
3 shares @ 56.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18?$2.66Jul 17, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.59Jul 16, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?$1.24Jul 9, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.37Jul 9, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)$3.03Jul 9, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.92Jul 7, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.11Jul 4, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$1.25Jul 3, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?$1.90Jul 3, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$3.33Jun 10, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00May 29, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?$0.00May 29, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sung Jinwoo win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?$0.00May 29, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?$0.00May 29, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$2.75May 29, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$27.92May 29, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.3% or less in April?$3.35May 5, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sung Jinwoo win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?$2.63May 4, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$14.80May 3, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?$4.20May 3, 13:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 03:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 06:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.