Colorful-Standoff
0xc1e15f97593f86754cae77923849fd866b01b329
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-493.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 11?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on July 21?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
23 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
22 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
21 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
21 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
20 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.03Jul 22, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.03Jul 20, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.03Jul 20, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.96Jul 20, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.03Jul 20, 16:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.96Jul 19, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.03Jul 19, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.03Jul 18, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.03Jul 18, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$2.17Jul 18, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.04Jul 18, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$2.07Jul 17, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$2.10Jul 16, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.96Jul 16, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.03Jul 16, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$3.70Jul 16, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1.05Jul 16, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.03Jul 16, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.03Jul 16, 16:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 23:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 17:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.