Broken-Measure
0xc1e3b8d95ba744cf444758c8f5b98b601f772f5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$21.64
Total PnL
$0.12
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
0%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.62
$0.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.43
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 22?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.40
$0.00
- NO
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.37
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 22?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.35
$0.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.35
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 22?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.31
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 22?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.31
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 22?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 22?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$110.00Jun 29, 13:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $110.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 19:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.