Distant-App
0xc1e50900f85d830da1982b3ca3a39e99144306db
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-51.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Leicester City wins the Premier League?
1300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
1300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 President’s Trophy?
1020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Bryn Kenney win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- PIRATES
Pirates vs. Brewers
30 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.55
- FALCONS
Falcons vs. Cowboys
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-9.94
- BLUE JACKETS
Devils vs. Blue Jackets
15 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- HURRICANES
Panthers vs. Hurricanes
11 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2025$0.00
$-6.27
- MARINERS
Blue Jays vs. Mariners
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.88
- TIGERS
Tigers vs. Yankees
7 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$139.83May 15, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$159.82May 15, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$199.93May 15, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$200.06May 15, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$140.02May 15, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$159.82May 15, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$189.80May 15, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$209.76May 15, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win Eurovision 2026?$160.01May 15, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$210.02May 15, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$160.01May 15, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$190.01May 15, 14:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Apr 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$311.68Apr 14, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$496.50Apr 14, 12:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 10, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $279.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 22:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.