Concerned-Identity
0xc1e71ba9cec3ca2385044f0e189150549dacedc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1211 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on October 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on October 28?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Jan 17, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.00Jan 17, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.00Jan 17, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $5.00Dec 25, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$1.39Dec 25, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $2.60Dec 25, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.62Dec 25, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$0.27Dec 25, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$0.81Dec 25, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $2.00Dec 15, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$1.00Dec 10, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Dec 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$1.00Dec 10, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.11Dec 10, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?$1.40Dec 10, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.06Dec 10, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.72Dec 10, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the December 2025 FOMC decision result in a 25bp cut with >2 dissents?$1.00Dec 6, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$1.00Dec 6, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Dec 6, 13:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 14:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 09:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".