Menacing-Toothpick
0xc1ec18b71420cbce26d132ca0b9d05ce4f417833
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$39.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4PM ET
1702 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-800.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 5PM ET
1280 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 6PM ET
1167 shares @ 55.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-650.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET
1068 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12PM ET
669 shares @ 59.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4PM ET
596 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-280.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4AM ET
465 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
309 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-154.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
309 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-154.23
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party (Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt) (MKKP) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$81.44Apr 13, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$333.33Apr 13, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$160.00Apr 4, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$160.00Apr 4, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$0.00Apr 2, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$80.00Apr 2, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$244.95Apr 2, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$160.00Apr 2, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$116.00Apr 2, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$118.03Apr 2, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$80.00Apr 2, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$40.00Apr 2, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$20.00Apr 2, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$10.00Apr 2, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$21.81Apr 1, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$16.77Apr 1, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$10.00Apr 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$10.00Apr 1, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$87.50Apr 1, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$40.00Apr 1, 18:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $253.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 29, 16:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 18:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".