Arctic-Insert
0xc1ee174b7794394cf22d07b00599f1096b8504fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$6.51
Total PnL
$-26.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Trump say "Booming" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$2.70
$1.70
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.32
$-0.68
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 4.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- YES
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
44 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Booming" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$1.03May 22, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$1.03May 22, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gold" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$1.03May 22, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?$1.03May 22, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?$1.03May 22, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$1.00May 21, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00May 21, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$1.03May 21, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$3.57May 21, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$3.85May 21, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?$1.04May 21, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?$1.04May 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$1.04May 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?$1.00Apr 26, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 20, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 10, 2026?$2.27Apr 20, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US crude oil reserves fall to 400M by June 5?$1.00Apr 20, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 20, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 20, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$0.06Apr 16, 00:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 21:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 14:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".