Assured-Fav
0xc1f0dbc83131fcc94c769bd20e09bd13e28fe860
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$50.00
Total PnL
$-86.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
50 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$50.00
$0.90
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
150 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-87.45
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?$0.10Dec 11, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$87.45Oct 28, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?$49.10Oct 7, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.20Sep 17, 06:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $34.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 17, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 09:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.