Animated-Pass
0xc1f52ae9b0c395ea13f677408e812ad817fbfadd
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?
1055 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 19?
701 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 8?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 22?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BUCCANEERS
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
9 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-6.47
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.47
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$14.21Jul 17, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$14.20Jul 16, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$79.18Jun 11, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$79.10Jun 10, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?$2.22Jun 10, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$81.38Jun 1, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$81.30May 31, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?$81.28May 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?$81.21May 28, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?$81.18May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 16?$81.11May 15, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$81.08May 12, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$81.00May 10, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$81.08May 8, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$81.00May 5, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$81.02May 5, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$80.94Apr 28, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 24?$80.95Apr 28, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 24?$80.87Apr 24, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 20?$80.86Apr 24, 01:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $66.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 10:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 18:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.