Polished-Modernity
0xc1f66adac84f7061b8aaa2edd4b8c13cab8df303
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$4.46
Total PnL
$-10.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
4 shares @ 52.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.46
$2.10
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?
8 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.36
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
6 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Magic
6 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
- HORNETS
Pistons vs. Hornets
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$1.19May 19, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$2.42May 17, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals$1.51May 16, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$2.42May 16, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$1.11May 15, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$2.64Apr 16, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$2.28Apr 15, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.46Mar 15, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Pacers$1.43Mar 13, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Pacers$1.10Mar 11, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$1.56Mar 11, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?$2.36Mar 6, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Magic$1.43Mar 5, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?$1.72Mar 5, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?$1.27Mar 3, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$1.10Mar 2, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$3.84Feb 28, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Feb 17, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.19Feb 17, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Feb 17, 10:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 12:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.