Self-Assured-Fate
0xc1f96b6810a4b70d3613f6d5302d40a2745ebd87
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-282.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
42354 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-44.98
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?
22700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-22.70
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
709 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-79.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
210 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$84.68May 9, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$67.81Mar 1, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$67.81Mar 1, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$26.13Mar 1, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$10.00Mar 1, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$37.39Mar 1, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$28.34Mar 1, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Mar 1, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$33.00Feb 28, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.00Feb 28, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$20.00Feb 28, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$10.00Feb 28, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Feb 28, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$10.00Feb 28, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$25.00Feb 28, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Feb 28, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Feb 28, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Feb 28, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)?$2.00Feb 28, 10:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $18.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 09:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 09:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".