Forthright-Minor
0xc1fad0f7eef3c2e7f5564747df061a7e70f19611
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$310.97
Total PnL
$-728.66
Realised
$-10.08
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 21?
15 shares @ 81.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$12.40
$0.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 20?
15 shares @ 73.4¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$11.15
$0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 21?
12 shares @ 67.9¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.74
$0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?
17 shares @ 63.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.52
$-1.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 21?
11 shares @ 72.4¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.18
$0.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 21?
13 shares @ 61.5¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.01
$-0.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 20?
10 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$7.92
$0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 20?
10 shares @ 72.6¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$7.73
$0.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 20?
12 shares @ 67.4¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$7.73
$-0.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 20?
7 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$7.13
$2.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 22?$3.22Jun 20, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 22?$3.39Jun 20, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 21?$4.40Jun 20, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 21?$3.35Jun 20, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 22?$3.95Jun 20, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 22?$3.96Jun 20, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 21?$3.70Jun 20, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 21?$3.75Jun 20, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 22?$3.21Jun 20, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 21?$3.70Jun 20, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 22?$3.25Jun 20, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 21?$3.52Jun 20, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMBaltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$18.45Jun 20, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 22?$3.52Jun 20, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 21?$4.19Jun 20, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 21?$3.14Jun 20, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 22?$3.50Jun 20, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 21?$3.33Jun 20, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 22?$4.82Jun 20, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$9.38Jun 20, 05:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.