Vivacious-Grapefruit
0xc1fd9dd14bef4341dbe82ca74e9fa116ea25ba6c
Quality score
92/100
Open positions
11
Open notional
$142.1K
Total PnL
$5.4K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
75001 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$74.7K
$3.5K
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
40000 shares @ 91.1¢·now 90.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$36.3K
$-203.36
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
15000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.8K
$375.00
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?
5650 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.6K
$84.75
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
5000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.8K
$110.00
- NO
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
5000 shares @ 75.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.3K
$-475.00
- YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
3228 shares @ 65.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.0K
$887.81
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5000 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$902.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
604 shares @ 93.9¢·now 98.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$592.79
$25.67
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
52 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$51.84
$0.86
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.9313h ago
- YIELD$1.052d ago
- YIELD$1.053d ago
- YIELD$0.934d ago
- YIELD$0.935d ago
- YIELD$0.996d ago
- YIELD$1.177d ago
- YIELD$0.878d ago
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?$5.5K8d ago
- YIELD$1.059d ago
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$1.6K9d ago
- YIELD$1.1810d ago
- YIELD$1.3111d ago
- YIELD$1.0612d ago
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$846.0612d ago
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$1.9312d ago
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$2.5012d ago
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$30.0112d ago
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$23.4412d ago
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$5.0012d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $2.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 20d ago
- Last active
- 13h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.