Optimistic-Hyphenation
0xc2070bf7ad9d2ded147f1f262c2a5f7357a9a678
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$890.19
Total PnL
$-26.95
Realised
$-9.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
249 shares @ 82.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$249.30
$43.87
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
211 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$211.00
$21.10
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
143 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$143.00
$12.87
- NO
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
137 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$137.05
$21.97
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
127 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$127.01
$4.45
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
160 shares @ 24.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.00
$-18.40
- NO
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.83
$0.51
- NO
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?
155 shares @ 67.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-104.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$189.90Feb 11, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$197.80Feb 11, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$202.10Feb 11, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$115.08Feb 9, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$42.24Feb 9, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$148.00Feb 9, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$122.56Feb 3, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$57.64Feb 3, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$81.23Feb 1, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$191.01Jan 31, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$55.45Jan 26, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$137.00Jan 26, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$38.40Jan 22, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January?$211.00Jan 22, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?$121.93Jan 17, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$123.73Jan 17, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January?$198.34Jan 17, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?$188.10Jan 17, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$183.94Jan 16, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$42.02Jan 16, 22:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $131.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 06:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 23:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.