Lawful-Luggage
0xc20be2395f21b9ab8139d08ecdaf869c3044e068
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$88.00
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
1600 shares @ 15.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$88.00
$-152.00
- NO
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
16721 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during California rally on October 12?
4920 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2024$0.00
$-400.97
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia rally on October 23?
2083 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Jesus" during RNC speech?
1828 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2024$0.00
$-450.00
- NO
Will Trump say "border" 20 or more times during California rally on October 12?
1341 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2024$0.00
$-345.72
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?
952 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto/Bitcoin" during RNC speech?
841 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2024$0.00
$-146.00
- YES
Will Kamala say "DEI" at debate?
714 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
521 shares @ 38.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$219.01Jan 21, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$6.78Jan 21, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.50Jan 21, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$11.71Jan 14, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMOver $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?$304.59Jan 11, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?$183.25Jan 10, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$50.00Oct 30, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$159.00Oct 30, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$49.72Oct 28, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$100.00Oct 28, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMOver $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?$609.84Oct 27, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Paystream raise on MetaDAO?$350.00Oct 25, 19:33 UTC
- TRADESELLMeteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?$2.9KOct 24, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?$350.00Oct 7, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?$600.00Oct 5, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?$220.00Oct 5, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$200.00Nov 5, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia rally on October 23?$100.00Oct 22, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$200.00Oct 16, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "border" 20 or more times during California rally on October 12?$345.72Oct 13, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $227.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 14:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 11:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".