Unhappy-Milk-Closet
0xc20e25016383b17635ab2375a17d7a837812642a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-27.4K
Realised
$-814.40
Win rate
0%
50 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
5000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?
4371 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-961.72
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?
4167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Colombia?
3708 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-48.21
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?
3407 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
3300 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-891.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?
3125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?
3125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?
2941 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Japan?
2932 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-29.32
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$12.15Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$2.5KJul 19, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMLamine Yamal: 2+ shots$138.89Jul 19, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$2.2KJul 19, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$1.7KJul 19, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 2+ shots$101.40Jul 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 3+ shots$508.75Jul 19, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$522.50Jul 19, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?$521.00Jul 19, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?$522.00Jul 19, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.0KJul 19, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?$827.30Jul 19, 12:40 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$8.27Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2.2KJul 15, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$1.9KJul 15, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?$520.75Jul 15, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$1.0KJul 15, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$1.0KJul 15, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$1.0KJul 15, 18:59 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$12.82Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 50 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
50 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $615.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 50 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.